Many have defiantly declared Trump an unacceptable candidate, dismissed as a man who will lose this election. This is nothing new; they’ve counted him out before. The polls and pundits, those supposedly in-the-know, tell us his cumulative gaffes have taken their toll and Hillary will win. Their spin and negativity overwhelms and has since the beginning.
But let’s not celebrate a Clinton coronation just yet. There may be some surprises yet to come.
Looking back, we remember those who rallied around Jeb Bush, the inevitable 150 million failed presidential nominee. It wasn’t a likely win for the short sighted Bush donors who jumped on board the directionless Bush train. It was all the Republican party had to offer after a dismal eight year performance that altered voter-faith in the staid conservatives who were supposed to deliver. The people wanted none of it and rejected all 16 of the nominees, the best the party had to offer. Some of those stunned nominees, the ones who stood stridently for their country, haven’t recovered from their Trump-bruising and remain opposed to his presidential nomination.
A transformation occurred that kicked their system-maintenance no-change beliefs out of contention.
They hold grudges, those that do, and their personal resentment takes precedence over their country – a revealing barometer of character that tells us who they really are.
So what was it about Trump that led to his unprecedented primary wins? He was the non-politician candidate whose differences dominated more than not. He was chastised for his lack of Republicanism, his inability to grasp the issues that the smarter conservatives pompously presumed they knew. His idiosyncrasies gave them plenty to belittle. There were his political donations to politicians on either side who could help him deliver the deals that his real estate empire required. He made clear unapologetically that rich entrepreneurs donate to politicians. His unusual candor had enormous appeal because we all knew it was true. He has a funny looking head of hair, his canary yellow do, demeaned regularly by his critics when they could not come up with anything else to explain his unprecedented voter support.
His supporters know his imperfections. Those who believed in him, still do.
So why does Trump still have a chance to win this election? How can the gaffe-prone underdog who loses his cool all too often, emerge victorious?
The first thing to note is Trump’s ability to pick up on an inescapable gloom many Americans are living – an unacceptable status quo for those who yearn for integrity in the White House by a candidate who tells the truth. Plenty are unhappy with the economy, our foreign policy and lack of transparency. Hillary is a continuation of Obama. Many undecideds may need to be reminded of that by Trump. He will get his opportunity in the debates.
Trump won the primaries because of his debate performance. He captured sentiment with his astute read of the voter’s lack of trust for an establishment candidate. He gave them emotion along with skilled observations and laser sharp criticisms of the other candidates. He delivered big on voter frustration that the other candidates mostly misread.
Lest we forget, Hillary has a baggage-laden last name that reeks from corruption and mistrust. She also happens to be the former Secretary of State who left us with numerous foreign policy disasters that continue to take lives and erode American credibility. She personifies establishment and is a dreadful reminder of Obama’s eight years of mostly failed policies. That coupled with her purposeful unsecured email server and Clinton Foundation duplicity make it difficult for her to defend her candidacy. Trump will capitalize on her limitations. She’ll be prepared but her poor past performance will put her at a distinct disadvantage.
Another consideration is Wikileaks and Julian Assange who has more in store for us. Interesting that a man like Assange is set on exposing Hillary. He warns of things to come and takes considerable risks exposing her emails. Will Hillary’s 30,000 scrubbed ‘private emails’ be exposed in his ‘October Surprise’? If yes, there are many who believe they may confirm the pay-to-play allegations that those who got State Department attention were Clinton Foundation donors. A damning confirmation that many suspect already.
Then there are those persnickety poll numbers many believe forecast Trump doom. Not so fast! Autumn’s realities following summer’s wistful musings, approach fast. When it does, more Americans will be ready to get serious. When they do, those who remain uncertain will become less so when Trump delivers on his policies and his ability to define voter concerns and unrest. If he remains disciplined he can persuade many more to vote for him.
Nigel Farage, the Brexit crusader who forged a victorious movement for Britain’s exit from the EU amidst highly negative media spin, has advice for those who negate a potential Trump victory. He advises American voters to ignore the polls. “What I think that Brexit shows here is that the polling industry, the pundits, the experts… actually they could not accurately predict what happened in the referendum,” Farage told SuperTalk radio in Mississippi, hours before a scheduled appearance at a rally with GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump:
“2.5 million people in the U.K. who normally do not vote or in many cases never voted in their lives went to their local polling stations on June the 23rd to vote for Brexit,” he said. “So I would say to people who are following the polls here in this presidential race very carefully — forget it! The polls do not know what is actually going to happen.”
There are those predicting a Trump landslide. Political-science Professor Helmut Norpoth, who created a statistical model for presidential elections believes it. “The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president if he’s a nominee of the [Republican] party.” Norpoth shared this at the SUNY Global Center in Midtown.
He went on to say, ……”that’s exactly the kind of equation I used to predict Bill Clinton winning in ‘96, that I used to predict that George Bush would win in 2004, and as you remember four years ago that Obama would win in 2012,” he said. “The probability of a Trump win is almost ‘take it to the bank,’ ” he said.
We should remember that every political pundit in our country miscalculated the entire primary season with incorrect predictions. They negated Trump’s potential, counting him out at every turn.
And don’t be fooled by the media’s denigration of Trump’s intelligence. His intellect is intact. Trump’s ability to assess a situation should not be ignored. He manipulates things in ways that aren’t always understood. When he steps too far the media pounces with a fury that probably tells us they may be concerned about how far he can really take this.
His comments may be intentional. Many probably are. His track record impressive. He snared the nomination from 16 of the best and brightest contenders, no easy feat for a man lacking political experience. Should we underestimate his formidable abilities even when they emerge as gaffes repeatedly broadcast by a hostile media who repeat again and again Donald’s messages – free media attention that may be deliberate more than not. Attention he garners because he can.
For those discouraged by unrelenting media spin used by Hillary and her enablers to effect a belief that she’s inevitable – Think Again. Hillary is hugely unpopular. She’s viewed as untrustworthy and dishonest even by many in her own party though the media-distorted mind-trip wants you to believe otherwise.
Hillary isn’t inevitable but Trump may be!